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“Talking the Tropics With Mike”: Pacific Basin remains active

There are no areas of immediate concern over the Atlantic Basin.  Satellite imagery shows a weak trough of low pressure from the W. Atlantic across the Gulf Coast with an approaching cold front to the north.  An unseasonably deep penetration to the south by the cold front will occur through the weekend thanks to a strong - for this time of year - low pressure east of New Jersey that will "sling slot" the front deep into the Southern U.S.

A weak tropical wave is over the E. Atlantic moving rather slowly W/NW along the southern edge of a large shield of Saharan dust.  Any development will be slow to occur.

There are some hints of a tropical wave trying to develop next week over the Central Atlantic (2nd chart below).

Imagery below courtesy CIMMS continues shows the African Saharan dust (orange & red) over the Central & Eastern Atlantic.

Water vapor imagery:

Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic shows the strong Bermuda high remains anchored over the Central Atlantic...

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean:

Wind shear analysis (red is stronger shear - still very evident over the Caribbean):

Eastern Atlantic:

In the E. Pacific.... "Irwin" & "Hilary" continue to dance while weakening & moving W/NW - no threat to any land areas.

"Irwin":

"Hilary":

The W. Pacific has also become active.  "Noru" will languish east of Japan while "Nesat" moves across Taiwan as a Cat. 1 typhoon.

"Nesat":

"Noru":

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