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“Talking the Tropics With Mike”: Upper low over Atlantic... hurricane Matthew helps bird species

There are no areas of concern over the Atlantic Basin.  A strong upper low -- nontropical -- is spinning over the middle of the Atlantic at about 29 degrees N, 55 degrees W.  No significant surface reflection is evident nor is expected to develop.

T'storms have been active off the coast of the Carolina's & might be an area to watch if there's any persistence.

There are some hints of a tropical wave trying to develop later next week over the Central Atlantic (2nd chart below).

Imagery below courtesy CIMMS continues shows the African Saharan dust (orange & red) over the Central & Eastern Atlantic .... a new "blob" of African dust is taking up residence over much of the E. Atlantic & should help to limit deep tropical development this week through the weekend...

Water vapor imagery:

Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic shows the strong Bermuda high remains anchored over the Central Atlantic...

Surface analysis of the Gulf:

Caribbean:

Wind shear analysis (red is stronger shear - very evident over the Central Atlantic & still over the Caribbean):

Eastern Atlantic.... once again the "popcorn" texture to the clouds off the coast of Africa is indicative of a stable atmosphere:

In the E. Pacific.... the hyper active July continues (5 named storms this month). Weakening "Greg" is followed by hurricane "Irwin" then hurricane "Hilary" - that's 5 hurricanes already this season over the E. Pacific.  There will be some interaction between "Irwin" & "Hilary" with a possible binary interaction through the weekend as "Irwin" gets pushed southwest then north & northwest around the circualtion of "Hilary".  It's also possible that "Irwin" will be absorbed by the stronger/larger "Hilary".

"Greg" should soon dissipate & will not reach the Hawaiian Islands as a tropical cyclone:

"Irwin":

"Hilary":

Interesting article from Jacksonville.com/Florida Times Union by one of the best local columnists - Mark Woods: "A tern for the better after hurricane Matthew" - here.  Photo below:

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