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Hurricanes

    The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' **No areas of concern across the Atlantic that would affect the U.S. or any other land areas ** However, tropical storm Sebastien has formed over the Central Atlantic 300+ miles east of Puerto Rico.  Sebastien will drift to the northwest before merging with a frontal system & accelerating northeast late in the week.  Once merged with the cold front, transition to an extra-tropical low pressure system will occur over the open North Atlantic.  No impact on the U.S. & the system will stay south & east of Bermuda.  Marginal atmospheric conditions - northwest shear in particular (satellite imagery shows most of the t'storm activity to the east of the low level center) - will keep the tropical storm from strengthening a great deal though there may be a brief uptick Wed./Wed. night about the time Sebastien is absorbed by the frontal system. Less than two weeks are left in the Atlantic hurricane season!  Two hurricanes have ever made a U.S. landfall in Nov. - both in Florida: 'Yankee' on Nov. 4, 1935 - at Miami..... & 'Kate' in the Panhandle on Nov. 22, 1985. Other notable storms include 'loopy' Gordon in 1994... Lenny in 1999... Paloma in 2008 & Ida in 2009.     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Tanya' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies: SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Global tropical activity:
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' **No areas of concern across the Atlantic that would affect the U.S. or any other land areas ** A rather compact area of storminess/low pressure continues over the Central Atlantic hundreds of miles east of Puerto Rico.  Some gradual tropical or subtropical development is possible as the evolving low pressure system drifts to the northwest then north through midweek before merging with a frontal system & accelerating northeast late in the week.  Once merged with the cold front, transition to an extra-tropical low pressure system will occur over the open North Atlantic.  No impact on the U.S. & the system should stay south & east of Bermuda. Less than two weeks are left in the Atlantic hurricane season!  Two hurricanes have ever made a U.S. landfall in Nov. - both in Florida: 'Yankee' on Nov. 4, 1935 - at Miami..... & 'Kate' in the Panhandle on Nov. 22, 1985. Other notable storms include 'loopy' Gordon in 1994... Lenny in 1999... Paloma in 2008 & Ida in 2009.     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Sebastien' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies: SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Global tropical activity:
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' **No areas of concern across the Atlantic that would affect the U.S. or any other land areas ** An area of storminess continues over the Central Atlantic hundreds of miles east of Puerto Rico.  Some gradual tropical or subtropical development is possible as the evolving low pressure system drifts to the northwest through midweek then merges with a frontal system & accelerates northeast late in the week.  Once merged with the cold front, transition to an extra-tropical low pressure system will occur by late week. Less than two weeks are left in the Atlantic hurricane season!  Two hurricanes have ever made a U.S. landfall in Nov. - both in Florida: 'Yankee' on Nov. 4, 1935 - at Miami..... & 'Kate' in the Panhandle on Nov. 22, 1985. Other notable storms include 'loopy' Gordon in 1994... Lenny in 1999... Paloma in 2008 & Ida in 2009.     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Sebastien' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies: SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Over the E. Pacific.... Raymond is weakening & degenerating into a remnant low.  Still... some flooding, gusty winds & rip currents, rough seas/surf will occur through Sunday over the Southern & Western coasts of the Baja. Global tropical activity:
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' **No areas of concern across the Atlantic that would affect the U.S. or any other land areas ** Strong low pressure is over the Western Atlantic to the east of the Carolina's.  Some subtropical (or hybrid) characteristics are possible but no true tropical development is expected.  Though staying offshore, the low is producing gusty winds, rip currents, rough seas & surf & heavy rain at times for parts of coastal  Georgia & the Carolina's.  The low will start to accelerate east/northeast through early week over the open Atlantic. Meanwhile.... an area of storminess continues over the Central Atlantic hundreds of miles east of Puerto Rico.  Some gradual development is possible as the system drifts to the northwest through midweek then merges with a frontal system & accelerates northeast late in the week.  It looks like this system stays well south & east of Bermuda. Less than two weeks are left in the Atlantic hurricane season!  Two hurricanes have ever made a U.S. landfall in Nov. - both in Florida: 'Yankee' on Nov. 4, 1935 - at Miami..... & 'Kate' in the Panhandle on Nov. 22, 1985. Other notable storms include 'loopy' Gordon in 1994... Lenny in 1999... Paloma in 2008 & Ida in 2009.     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Sebastien' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies: SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Over the E. Pacific.... Raymond is weakening & degenerating into a remnant low.  Still... some flooding, gusty winds & rip currents, rough seas/surf will occur through Sunday over the Southern & Western coasts of the Baja. Global tropical activity: 'Fengshen' is a recurve over the NW Pacific well to the east of Japan....
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' **No areas of concern across the Atlantic that would affect the U.S. or any other land areas ** Low pressure is consolidating into a single stronger low pressure area northeast of Jacksonville & east of the Carolina's this weekend.  Tropical development is unlikely but some subtropical (or hybrid) characteristics are possible.  Though staying offshore, the low will produce gusty winds, rip currents, rough seas & surf & heavy rain at times for parts of coastal Florida & especially Georgia & the Carolina's.  The low will start to accelerate east/northeast by Sunday/Mon. over the open Atlantic. Meanwhile.... a large area of storminess has emerged over the Central Atlantic hundreds of miles east of Puerto Rico.  Some gradual development is possible as the system drifts to the northwest through the next week or so. Only two weeks are left in the Atlantic hurricane season!  Two hurricanes have ever made a U.S. landfall in Nov. - both in Florida: 'Yankee' on Nov. 4, 1935 - at Miami..... & 'Kate' in the Panhandle on Nov. 22, 1985. Other notable storms include 'loopy' Gordon in 1994... Lenny in 1999... Paloma in 2008 & Ida in 2009.     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Sebastien' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies: SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Over the E. Pacific.... tropical storm Raymond has formed & will impact the Southern Baja of California over the weekend but as a relatively weak system.  Still... some flooding, gusty winds & rip currents, rough seas/surf will occur through Sunday. Global tropical activity: Typhoon 'Fengshen' will recurve over the NW Pacific well to the east of Japan....
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' **No areas of concern across the Atlantic that would affect the U.S. or any other land areas ** Disorganized low pressure will consolidate into a single stronger low pressure area northeast of Jacksonville & east of the Carolina's through Saturday.  Tropical development is unlikely but some subtropical (or hybrid) characteristics - once east of Fl. - are possible.  Though staying offshore, the low will produce gusty winds, rip currents, rough seas & surf & heavy rain at times for parts of coastal Florida & especially Georgia & the Carolina's.  The low will start to accelerate east/northeast by Sunday/Mon. over the open Atlantic. Nov. is the last 'official' month of the Atlantic hurricane season.  Only two hurricanes have ever made a U.S. landfall in Nov. - both in Florida: 'Yankee' on Nov. 4, 1935 - at Miami..... & 'Kate' in the Panhandle on Nov. 22, 1985. Other notable storms include 'loopy' Gordon in 1994... Lenny in 1999... Paloma in 2008 & Ida in 2009.     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Sebastien' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies: SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Over the E. Pacific.... a tropical storm is developing & will impact the Southern Baja of California over the weekend but as a relatively weak system.  Still... some flooding & rip currents, rough seas/surf will occur through Sunday. Global tropical activity: Typhoon 'Fengshen' will recurve over the NW Pacific well to the east of Japan....
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' **No areas of concern across the Atlantic that would affect the U.S. or any other land areas ** Disorganized low pressure will develop over or near Florida by Friday into Saturday.  A pair of lows will consolidate & move over the W. Atlantic east & northeast of Jacksonville while intensifying & slowly pivoting north/northeast.  Tropical development is unlikely but some subtropical characteristics - once east of Fl. - are possible.  Though staying offshore, the low will produce gusty winds, rip currents, rough seas & surf & heavy rain at times for parts of coastal Florida & especially Georgia & the Carolina's. Nov. is the last 'official' month of the Atlantic hurricane season.  Only two hurricanes have ever made a U.S. landfall in Nov. - both in Florida: 'Yankee' on Nov. 4, 1935 - at Miami..... & 'Kate' in the Panhandle on Nov. 22, 1985. Other notable storms include 'loopy' Gordon in 1994... Lenny in 1999... Paloma in 2008 & Ida in 2009.     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Sebastien' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies: SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Global tropical activity:
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' **No areas of concern across the Atlantic that would affect the U.S. or any other land areas ** A large area of disorganized showers & storms continues over the Eastern Atlantic between the Caribbean & the west coast of Africa but shear will limit any development with little/no chance for the system to make it very far west.   Low pressure will develop over or near Florida by Friday.  This low will then move to the W. Atlantic east & northeast of Jacksonville while intensifying & slowly pivoting north/northeast.  Tropical development is unlikely but some subtropical characteristics - once east of Fl. - are possible.  No major impacts on the U.S. once over the Western Atlantic outside of enhanced onshore flow for the Carolina's + some coastal rain. Nov. is the last 'official' month of the Atlantic hurricane season.  Only two hurricanes have ever made a U.S. landfall in Nov. - both in Florida: 'Yankee' on Nov. 4, 1935 - at Miami..... & 'Kate' in the Panhandle on Nov. 22, 1985. Other notable storms include 'loopy' Gordon in 1994... Lenny in 1999... Paloma in 2008 & Ida in 2009.     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Sebastien' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies: SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Global tropical activity:
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' **No areas of concern across the Atlantic that would affect the U.S. or any other land areas ** A large area of disorganized showers & storms continues between the Caribbean & the west coast of Africa but shear will limit any development with little chance for the system to make it very far west.   Overall... the pattern over the Atlantic Basin continues to look a lot like late fall.  A now stationary front across the Greater Antilles/Northern Caribbean will be reinforced by another strong cold front through the end of the week. Low pressure will develop over or near Florida by Friday.  This low will then move to the W. Atlantic east & northeast of Jacksonville while intensifying & slowly pivoting north/northeast.  Tropical development is unlikely but some subtropical characteristics - once east of Fl. - are possible.  No major impacts on the U.S. once over the Western Atlantic outside of enhanced onshore flow for the Carolina's. Nov. is the last 'official' month of the Atlantic hurricane season.  Only two hurricanes have ever made a U.S. landfall in Nov. - both in Florida: 'Yankee' on Nov. 4, 1935 - at Miami..... & 'Kate' in the Panhandle on Nov. 22, 1985. Other notable storms include 'loopy' Gordon in 1994... Lenny in 1999... Paloma in 2008 & Ida in 2009.     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Sebastien' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies: SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Global tropical activity:
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' **No areas of concern across the Atlantic that would affect the U.S. or any other land areas ** A large area of disorganized showers & storms continues between the Caribbean & the west coast of Africa but shear will limit any development with little chance for the system to make it very far west.   Overall... the pattern over the Atlantic Basin looks a lot like late fall.  A strong cold front is plowing deep into & across the Atlantic with the trailing stationary front extending west across the Greater Antilles & Northern Caribbean which will be reinforced by another cold front this week. Low pressure will develop over or near Florida by Friday.  This low will then move to the W. Atlantic east & northeast of Jacksonville while intensifying & slowly pivoting north/northeast.  Tropical development is unlikely but some subtropical characteristics - once east of Fl. - are possible. Nov. is the last 'official' month of the Atlantic hurricane season.  Only two hurricanes have ever made a U.S. landfall in Nov. - both in Florida: 'Yankee' on Nov. 4, 1935 - at Miami..... & 'Kate' in the Panhandle on Nov. 22, 1985. Other notable storms include 'loopy' Gordon in 1994... Lenny in 1999... Paloma in 2008 & Ida in 2009.     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Sebastien' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies: SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Global tropical activity: