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Talking The Tropics with Mike

    The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' **  'Nestor' was upgraded over the Gulf of Mexico Fri. afternoon moving to the Fl. Panhandle Saturday then into Ga. Saturday night while becoming post tropical. Bands of heavy rain & possibly isolated tornadoes along with gusty winds & rough seas & surf from near Panama City Beach to Jacksonville Beach & much of Florida northward into Ga. & the Carolina's ** Specifically for Jacksonville/NE Fl./SE Ga.: * on - & - off heavy rain bands & a few t'storms Saturday * heavy rain at times with amounts averaging 0.5 - 2', isolated spots 3'+ * isolated tornadoes Saturday... remember WATCH: conditions favorable for severe weather; WARNING: severe weather imminent (covers a short period of time) * gusty winds on the order of 15-30 mph sustained but gusts of 40+ mph * rough seas & surf - a high rip current risk at area beaches * rapidly improving weather Sat. night into Sunday In itself, this will not be a storm that causes widespread damage but isolated tornadoes & isolated strong wind gusts will potentially cause localized damage over small areas (such as a Fri. night tornado in Polk Co. between Tampa & Orlando). South Fl. Water Management District: Nestor is moving swiftly northeast making landfall Sat. over the Central Fl. Panhandle not too far from Panama City then moving inland through Georgia into Sat. night. This will be a fast mover which will keep rainfall amounts lower - but still locally heavy. Virtually all of the heavy rain & wind (convection) remains over the northern & especially eastern portion of the circulation. The system will continue to be hampered by strong shear out of the west/southwest at more than 30-40 mph maintaining all the 'weather' over the eastern part of the circulation. Whether purely tropical vs. subtropical or post tropical, the impacts will be the same & very typical of landfalling tropical cyclones. Damage &/or power outages do not look to be significant or widespread for any affected areas as heavy rain, wind & any storm surge (Big Bend) will be short-lived as a weakening Nestor speeds to the east/northeast.  Dry air is wrapping in from the west which will allow for rapid clearing as the center of Nestor marches steadily northeast then east/northeast. Anyone living in - or traveling through - Florida.... the I-10 corridor from Pensacola to Jacksonville north through Ga. through Saturday & as far north as parts of the Carolina's into Sunday morning should expect impacts from 'Nestor'. A narrow cone means a high confidence track forecast: A storm surge WARNING is in effect for the Big Bend of Fl. (as much as 3-5+ feet of surge + wave action) to as far south as just north of Tampa in addition to a tropical storm WARNING.... Water vapor image shows dry air invading from the west.  Sure Rainfall forecast:     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Olga' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies show a warm Gulf of Mexico, Central & Northwest Atlantic while the 'Main Development Region' (MDR) remain cooler than avg.  A pocket of cool water temps. has expanded over the SW Atlantic including the Bahamas: While parts of the Atlantic are cooler than avg., it's important to realize the water is still warm enough to support tropical systems.... SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Global tropical activity:
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' **  'Nestor' was upgraded over the Gulf of Mexico Fri. afternoon moving to the Fl. Panhandle early Saturday then into Ga. Saturday afternoon. Bands of heavy rain & possibly isolated tornadoes along with gusty winds & rough seas & surf from near Panama City Beach to Jacksonville Beach & much of Florida northward into Ga. & the Carolina's ** Specifically for Jacksonville/NE Fl./SE Ga.: * on - & - off heavy rain bands & a few t'storms Saturday * heavy rain at times with amounts averaging 0.5 - 2', isolated spots 3'+ * isolated tornadoes Saturday... remember WATCH: conditions favorable for severe weather; WARNING: severe weather imminent (covers a short period of time) * gusty winds on the order of 15-30 mph sustained but gusts of 40+ mph * rough seas & surf - a high rip current risk at area beaches * rapidly improving weather Sat. night into Sunday In itself, this will not be a storm that causes widespread damage but isolated tornadoes & isolated strong wind gusts will potentially cause localized damage over small areas. South Fl. Water Management District: Nestor is moving swiftly northeast making landfall early Sat. over the Central Fl. Panhandle not too far from Panama City then moving inland through Georgia midday through late afternoon Sat.  This will be a fast mover which will help in terms of how strong the system becomes (less time over water).... & will keep rainfall amounts lower - but still heavy - than might typically occur with a landfalling tropical cyclone. Nestor remains lopsided with virtually all the heavy rain & wind (convection) over the northern & especially eastern portion of the circulation. The system will continue to be hampered by strong shear out of the west/southwest at more than 30-40 mph (7th image below).  The shear will maintain a heavily weighted system on the north & east side.  In other words, the heavy rain & strongest winds will be in the top (north) & right (east) quadrants.   Whether purely tropical vs. subtropical is just semantics & either way the impacts will be the same & very typical of landfalling tropical cyclones. Damage &/or power outages do not look to be significant or widespread for any affected areas as heavy rain, wind & any storm surge (Big Bend) will be short-lived as a weakening Nestor speeds to the east/northeast.  However, storm surge of 3-5 feet is forecast for the Big Bend, possibly higher in spots.  When combined with wave action, some pretty serious flooding will occur in some parts of the Big Bend & nearby coastal areas. Dry air is wrapping in from the west which - in combination with the strong shear - should keep this system 'in check' with a subtropical appearance followed by rapid clearing as the center of Nestor marches steadily northeast then east/northeast. Anyone living in - or traveling through - Florida.... the I-10 corridor from Pensacola to Jacksonville north through Ga. through Saturday & as far north as parts of the Carolina's into Sunday morning should expect impacts from 'Nestor'. A narrow cone means a high confidence track forecast: A storm surge WARNING is in effect for the Big Bend of Fl. (as much as 3-5+ feet of surge + wave action) to as far south as just north of Tampa in addition to a tropical storm WARNING.... Water vapor image shows dry air invading from the west.  Sure Rainfall forecast:     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Olga' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies show a warm Gulf of Mexico, Central & Northwest Atlantic while the 'Main Development Region' (MDR) remain cooler than avg.  A pocket of cool water temps. has expanded over the SW Atlantic including the Bahamas: While parts of the Atlantic are cooler than avg., it's important to realize the water is still warm enough to support tropical systems.... SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Global tropical activity:
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' **  'Nestor' was upgraded over the Gulf of Mexico Fri. afternoon moving to the Fl. Panhandle early Saturday then into Ga. Saturday afternoon. Bands of heavy rain & possibly isolated tornadoes along with gusty winds & rough seas & surf from near Panama City Beach to near Jacksonville & much of Florida northward into Ga. & the Carolina's ** Specifically for Jacksonville/NE Fl./SE Ga.: * on - & - off heavy rain bands & a few t'storms Saturday * heavy rain at times with amounts averaging 1 - 2', locally 3'+ * isolated tornadoes Saturday... remember WATCH: conditions favorable for severe weather; WARNING: severe weather imminent (covers a short period of time) * gusty winds on the order of 15-30 mph sustained but gusts of 40+ mph * rough seas & surf - a high rip current risk at area beaches * rapidly improving weather Sat. night into Sunday South Fl. Water Management District: Nestor is moving swiftly northeast making landfall early Sat. over the Central Fl. Panhandle not too far from Panama City then moving inland through Georgia midday through late afternoon Sat.  This will be a fast mover which will help in terms of how strong the system becomes (less time over water).... & will keep rainfall amounts lower - but still heavy - than might typically occur with a landfalling tropical cyclone. Nestor remains lopsided with virtually all the heavy rain & wind (convection) over the northern & especially eastern portion of the circulation. The system will continue to be hampered by strong shear out of the west/southwest at more than 30-40 mph (7th image below).  However, the tropical storm will be moving east/northeast in tandem with the shear - in addition to upper level divergence (splitting of the winds) which should allow for a moderately strong tropical storm despite the more subtropical (hybrid) appearance on satellite data.  The shear will maintain a heavily weighted system on the north & east side.  In other words, the heavy rain & strongest winds will be in the top (north) & right (east) quadrants.  Hurricane hunter aircraft has found tropical storm force winds as far as 160 miles east & northeast of the center over the Gulf. Whether purely tropical vs. subtropical is just semantics & either way the impacts will be the same & very typical of landfalling tropical cyclones. Damage &/or power outages do not look to be significant or widespread for any affected areas as heavy rain, wind & any storm surge (Big Bend) will be short-lived.  However, storm surge of 3-5 feet is forecast for the Big Bend, possibly higher in spots.  When combined with wave action, some pretty serious flooding will occur in some parts of the Big Bend & nearby coastal areas. Sea surface temps. (8th image below) & atmospheric moisture (10th image) are more than adequate for tropical development.  But dry air is wrapping in from the west which - in combination with the strong shear - should keep this system 'in check' with a subtropical appearance followed by rapid clearing as the center of Nestor marches steadily northeast then east/northeast. Anyone living in - or traveling through - Florida.... the I-10 corridor from Pensacola to Jacksonville north through Ga. through Saturday & as far north as parts of the Carolina's into Sunday morning should expect impacts from 'Nestor'. A narrow cone means a high confidence track forecast: A storm surge WARNING is in effect for the Big Bend of Fl. (as much as 3-5+ feet of surge + wave action) to as far south as just north of Tampa in addition to a tropical storm WARNING.... Shear (red lines indicate 'strong' shear): Sea surface temps. (red = warm [well into the 80s]): Water vapor image shows dry air invading from the west.  Sure Rainfall forecast through the weekend shows the Gulf disturbance bringing heavy rain northeast all the way to the Gulf Coast:     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Olga' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies show a warm Gulf of Mexico, Central & Northwest Atlantic while the 'Main Development Region' (MDR) remain cooler than avg.  A pocket of cool water temps. has expanded over the SW Atlantic including the Bahamas: While parts of the Atlantic are cooler than avg., it's important to realize the water is still warm enough to support tropical systems.... SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Global tropical activity:
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' ** The tropical disturbance has finally 'officially'! become 'Nestor' - over the Gulf of Mexico & will move near the Gulf Coast Fri. night then inland over the Fl. Panhandle & Ga. Saturday with bands of heavy rain & possibly isolated tornadoes along with gusty winds & rough seas & surf from near New Orleans to near Jacksonville northward into Ga. & the Carolina's ** Specifically for Jacksonville/NE Fl./SE Ga.: * rain moves in from the south & southwest late Fri. & especially in the evening & intensifies overnight into Saturday * heavy rain at times with amounts averaging 1 - 2', locally 3'+ * isolated tornadoes later Fri. night into Saturday... remember WATCH: conditions favorable for severe weather; WARNING: severe weather imminent (covers a short period of time) * gusty winds on the order of 15-30 mph sustained but gusts of 40+ mph * rough seas & surf - a high rip current risk at area beaches * rapidly improving weather Sat. night into Sunday South Fl. Water Management District: Nestor is moving into the Central & NE Gulf of Mexico & has become a tropical storm & will make landfall early Sat. over the Central Fl. Panhandle not too far from Panama City then moving inland Sat. over Georgia.  The exact location & intensity will determine the magnitude of impacts.  This will be a fast mover which should help in terms of how strong the system becomes (less time over water).... & will keep rainfall amounts lower - but still heavy - than might typically occur with a landfalling tropical cyclone. Nestor remains lopsided with virtually all the heavy rain & wind (convection) over the northern & eastern portion of the circulation. The system will continue to be hampered by strong shear out of the west/southwest at more than 30-40 mph (7th image below).  However, the tropical storm will be moving east/northeast in tandem with the shear - in addition to upper level divergence (splitting of the winds) which should allow for some strengthening despite the more subtropical (hybrid) appearance on satellite data.  The shear will maintain a heavily weighted system on the north & east side.  In other words, the heavy rain & strongest winds will be in the top (north) & right (east) quadrants. Whether purely tropical vs. subtropical is just semantics & either way the impacts will be the same & very typical of landfalling tropical cyclones. Damage &/or power outages do not look to be significant or widespread for any affected areas as heavy rain, wind & any storm surge (Big Bend) will be short-lived. Sea surface temps. (9th image below) & atmospheric moisture (11th image) are more than adequate for tropical development.  And there is an eddy of high oceanic heat content (warm water to a deep depth) over the Central Gulf.  But dry air is wrapping in from the west which - in combination with the strong shear - should keep this system 'in check'. Anyone living in - or traveling through - the corridor from New Orleans to Jacksonville through Saturday & as far north as much of Georgia & parts of the Carolina's into Sunday morning should expect impacts from 'Nestor'. A narrow cone means a high confidence track forecast: A storm surge WARNING is in effect for the Big Bend of Fl. (as much as 3-5+ feet of surge + wave action) to as far south as just north of Tampa in addition to a tropical storm WARNING.... Shear (red lines indicate 'strong' shear): Deep oceanic heat content (warm 'eddy' over the Central Gulf): Sea surface temps. (red = warm [well into the 80s]): Water vapor image shows dry air invading from the west.  Sure Rainfall forecast through the weekend shows the Gulf disturbance bringing heavy rain northeast all the way to the Gulf Coast:     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Olga' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies show a warm Gulf of Mexico, Central & Northwest Atlantic while the 'Main Development Region' (MDR) remain cooler than avg.  A pocket of cool water temps. has expanded over the SW Atlantic including the Bahamas: While parts of the Atlantic are cooler than avg., it's important to realize the water is still warm enough to support tropical systems.... SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Global tropical activity:
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' ** The tropical disturbance - likely to soon become 'Nestor' - over the Gulf of Mexico will move near the Gulf Coast Fri. night then inland over the Fl. Panhandle & Ga. Saturday with bands of heavy rain & possibly isolated tornadoes along with gusty winds & rough seas & surf from near New Orleans to near Jacksonville northward into Ga. & the Carolina's ** Specifically for Jacksonville/NE Fl./SE Ga.: * rain moves in from the south & southwest late Fri. & especially in the evening & intensifies overnight into Saturday * heavy rain at times with amounts averaging 1 - 2', locally 3'+ * isolated tornadoes later Fri. night into Saturday... remember WATCH: conditions favorable for severe weather; WARNING: severe weather imminent (covers a short period of time) * gusty winds on the order of 15-30 mph sustained but gusts of 40+ mph * rough seas & surf - a high rip current risk at area beaches * rapidly improving weather Sat. night into Sunday South Fl. Water Management District: Low pressure is moving into the Central Gulf of Mexico & is likely to become a tropical storm before making landfall early Sat. over the Central Fl. Panhandle not too far from Panama City then moving inland Sat. over Georgia.  The exact location & intensity will determine the magnitude of impacts.  This will be a fast mover which should help in terms of how strong the system becomes (less time over water).... & will keep rainfall amounts lower - but still heavy - than might typically occur with a landfalling tropical cyclone. The disturbance remains lopsided with virtually all the heavy rain & wind (convection) over the northern & eastern portion of the circulation. The system will continue to be hampered by strong shear out of the west/southwest at more than 30-40 mph (7th image below).  However, the disturbance will be moving east/northeast in tandem with the shear - in addition to upper level divergence (splitting of the winds) which should allow for some strengthening despite the more subtropical (hybrid) appearance on satellite data.  The shear will maintain a heavily weighted system on the north & east side.  In other words, the heavy rain & strongest winds will be in the top (north) & right (east) quadrants. Whether purely tropical vs. subtropical is just semantics & either way the impacts will be the same & very typical of landfalling tropical cyclones. Damage &/or power outages do not look to be significant or widespread for any affected areas as heavy rain, wind & any storm surge (Big Bend) will be short-lived. Sea surface temps. (9th image below) & atmospheric moisture (11th image) are more than adequate for tropical development.  And there is an eddy of high oceanic heat content (warm water to a deep depth) over the Central Gulf.  But dry air is wrapping in from the west which - in combination with the strong shear - should keep this system 'in check'. Anyone living in - or traveling through - the corridor from New Orleans to Jacksonville through Saturday & as far north as much of Georgia & parts of the Carolina's into Sunday morning should expect impacts from what will likely become 'Nestor'. A narrow cone means a high confidence track forecast: A storm surge WARNING is in effect for the Big Bend of Fl. (as much as 3-5+ feet of surge + wave action) to as far south as just north of Tampa in addition to a tropical storm WARNING.... Shear (red lines indicate 'strong' shear): Deep oceanic heat content (warm 'eddy' over the Central Gulf): Sea surface temps. (red = warm [well into the 80s]): Water vapor image shows dry air invading from the west.  Sure Rainfall forecast through the weekend shows the Gulf disturbance bringing heavy rain northeast all the way to the Gulf Coast:     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Nestor' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies show a warm Gulf of Mexico, Central & Northwest Atlantic while the 'Main Development Region' (MDR) remain cooler than avg.  A pocket of cool water temps. has expanded over the SW Atlantic including the Bahamas: While parts of the Atlantic are cooler than avg., it's important to realize the water is still warm enough to support tropical systems.... SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Global tropical activity:
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' ** The tropical disturbance - likely to soon become 'Nestor' - over the Gulf of Mexico will move near the Gulf Coast Fri. night then inland over the Fl. Panhandle & Ga. Saturday with bands of heavy rain & possibly isolated tornadoes along with gusty winds & rough seas & surf from near New Orleans to near Jacksonville northward into Ga. & the Carolina's ** Specifically for Jacksonville/NE Fl./SE Ga.: * rain moves in from the south & southwest Fri. evening & intensifies overnight into Saturday * heavy rain at times with amounts averaging 1 - 2', locally 3'+ * isolated tornadoes later Fri. night into Saturday * gusty winds on the order of 15-30 mph sustained but gusts of 40+ mph * rough seas & surf - a high rip current risk at area beaches * rapidly improving weather Sat. night into Sunday Low pressure has formed over the Western Gulf of Mexico & is likely to become a tropical storm before making landfall early Sat. over the Central Fl. Panhandle not too far from Panama City then moving inland Sat. over Georgia.  The exact location & intensity will determine the magnitude of impacts.  This will be a fast mover which should help in terms of how strong the system might become (less time over water).... & will keep rainfall amounts lower - but still heavy - than might typically occur with a landfalling tropical cyclone. Indications are that the system will be hampered - at least some - by strong shear out of the west/southwest at more than 30-40 mph (8th image below).  However, the disturbance will be moving east/northeast in tandem with the shear - in addition to upper level divergence (splitting of the winds) which may allow for steady strengthening.  The shear is likely to make the system heavily weighted on the north & east side.  In other words, the heavy rain & strongest winds will be in the top (north) & right (east) quadrants. The system may be more subtropical (not purely tropical).  But that's mainly semantics & either way the impacts will be the same & very typical of landfalling tropical cyclones.  Most factors other than shear such as sea surface temps. (9th image below) & atmospheric moisture (11th imgage) are more than adequate for tropical development.  And there is a pocket of high oceanic heat content (warm water to a deep depth) over the Central Gulf.  It does appear on satellite data that some dry air is trying to wrap in from the west. Anyone living in - or traveling through - the corridor from New Orleans to Jacksonville through Saturday & as far north as much of Georgia & parts of the Carolina's through Sunday should expect impacts from what will likely become 'Nestor'. A storm surge WARNING is in effect for the Big Bend of Fl. to as far south as just north of Tampa.... Shear (red lines indicate 'strong' shear): Deep oceanic heat content (warm 'eddy' over the Central Gulf): Sea surface temps. (red = warm [well into the 80s]): Water vapor image shows dry air invading from the west.  Sure Rainfall forecast through the weekend shows the Gulf disturbance bringing heavy rain northeast all the way to the Gulf Coast:     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Nestor' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies show a warm Gulf of Mexico, Central & Northwest Atlantic while the 'Main Development Region' (MDR) remain cooler than avg.  A pocket of cool water temps. has expanded over the SW Atlantic including the Bahamas: While parts of the Atlantic are cooler than avg., it's important to realize the water is still warm enough to support tropical systems.... SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Global tropical activity:
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' ** A tropical disturbance - likely to soon become 'Nestor' - over the Gulf of Mexico will move near the Gulf Coast Fri. night then inland over Fl. & Ga. Saturday with bands of heavy rain & possibly isolated tornadoes along with gusty winds & rough seas & surf from near New Orleans to near Jacksonville ** Specifically for Jacksonville/NE Fl./SE Ga.: * rain moves in from the south & southwest by Fri. evening & intensifies overnight into Saturday * heavy rain at times with amounts averaging 1 - 2', locally 3'+ * isolated tornadoes later Fri. night into Saturday * gusty winds on the order of 15-30 mph sustained but gusts of 40+ mph * rough seas & surf - a high rip current risk at area beaches * rapidly improving weather Sat. night into Sunday Low pressure has formed over the Western Gulf of Mexico & is likely to become a tropical storm before making landfall Fri. night over the Central Fl. Panhandle then moving inland Sat. over Georgia.  The exact location & intensity will determine the magnitude of impacts.  This will be a fast mover which should help in terms of how strong the system might become (less time over water).... & will keep rainfall amounts lower - but still heavy - than might typically occur with a landfalling tropical cyclone. Indications are that the system will be hampered - at least some - by strong shear out of the west/southwest at more than 30-40 mph (3rd image below).  However, the disturbance will be moving east/northeast in tandem with the shear - in addition to upper level divergence (splitting of the winds) which may allow for steady strengthening.  The shear is likely to make the system heavily weighted on the north & east side.  In other words, the heavy rain & strongest winds will be in the top (north) & right (east) quadrants. A front is also stalled out over the Northern Gulf.  If the disturbance attaches itself with the front then the system may be more subtropical.  But that's mainly semantics & either way the impacts will be the same & very typical of landfalling tropical cyclones.  Most other factors such as sea surface temps. (5th image below) & atmospheric moisture (7th imgage) are more than adequate for tropical development.  And there is a pocket of high oceanic heat content (warm water to a deep depth) over the Central Gulf. Anyone living in - or traveling through - the corridor from New Orleans to Jacksonville through Saturday & as far north as much of Georgia & parts of the Carolina's through Sunday should expect impacts from what will likely become 'Nestor'. A storm surge WATCH is in effect for the Big Bend of Fl. to as far south as just north of Tampa.... Shear (red lines indicate 'strong' shear): Deep oceanic heat content (warm 'eddy' over the Central Gulf): Sea surface temps. (red = warm [well into the 80s]): Mid & upper level moisture (colored areas = dry air): Rainfall forecast through the weekend shows the Gulf disturbance bringing heavy rain northeast all the way to the Gulf Coast:     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Nestor' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies show a warm Gulf of Mexico, Central & Northwest Atlantic while the 'Main Development Region' (MDR) remain cooler than avg.  A pocket of cool water temps. has expanded over the SW Atlantic including the Bahamas: While parts of the Atlantic are cooler than avg., it's important to realize the water is still warm enough to support tropical systems.... SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Global tropical activity:
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' ** A tropical disturbance over the Gulf of Mexico will move near the Gulf Coast Fri. night into Saturday with bands of heavy rain & possibly isolated tornadoes along with gusty winds & rough seas & surf from near New Orleans to near Jacksonville ** Low pressure has formed over the Western Gulf of Mexico & is likely to become a tropical depression & possibly tropical storm before making landfall Fri. night - Saturday near the Fl. Panhandle.  The exact location & intensity will determine the magnitude of impacts.  This will be a fast mover which should help in terms of how strong the system might become (less time over water).  Indications are that the system will be hampered - at least some - by strong shear out of the west/southwest at more than 30-40 mph (3rd image below).  However, the disturbance will be moving east/northeast in tandem with the shear which may allow for steady - if not intense - strengthening.  The shear is likely to make the system heavily weighted on the north & east side.  In other words, the heavy rain & strongest winds will be in the top (north) & right (east) quadrants.   Most other factors such as sea surface temps. (5th image below) & atmospheric moisture (7th imgage) are more than adequate for tropical development.  And there is a pocket of high oceanic heat content (warm water to a deep depth) over the Central Gulf. Anyone living in - or traveling through - the corridor from New Orleans to Jacksonville through Saturday & as far north as much of Georgia & parts of the Carolina's should expect impacts from what will likely become 'Nestor'. Shear (red lines indicate 'strong' shear): Deep oceanic heat content (warm 'eddy' over the Central Gulf): Sea surface temps. (red = warm [well into the 80s]): Mid & upper level moisture (colored areas = dry air): Rainfall forecast through the weekend shows the Gulf disturbance bringing heavy rain northeast all the way to the Gulf Coast:     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Nestor' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies show a warm Gulf of Mexico, Central & Northwest Atlantic while the 'Main Development Region' (MDR) remain cooler than avg.  A pocket of cool water temps. has expanded over the SW Atlantic including the Bahamas: While parts of the Atlantic are cooler than avg., it's important to realize the water is still warm enough to support tropical systems.... SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Global tropical activity:
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' ** There are no tropical threats to Jacksonville/NE Fl. & SE Ga. over the next few days. However, a disturbance will need to be monitored over the Western/SW Gulf of Mexico later this week into the weekend while t.d. #15 has dissipated over the far Eastern Atlantic ** Generally unsettled conditions continue near Central America.  Low pressure is forming near & over Central America & will move into the SW & Western Gulf of Mexico later this week where some attempts at tropical development will be possible.  Depending on how this low develops, there may be impacts on the Gulf Coast late week into the weekend though it's too early to specifically define these impacts.  As of right now... it looks like low pressure - possibly a tropical storm - will come ashore over the Central Gulf Coast Sat./Sat. night anywhere from New Orleans to the Fl. Panhandle producing heavy rain & gusty winds.  The disturbance is part of a large area of showers & t'storms from which a second disturbance has emerged on the Pacific side bringing heavy rain & flooding to Southern Mexico. Rainfall forecast through the weekend shows the Gulf disturbance bringing heavy rain northeast all the way to the Gulf Coast:     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Nestor' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies show a warm Gulf of Mexico, Central & Northwest Atlantic while the 'Main Development Region' (MDR) remain cooler than avg.  A pocket of cool water temps. has expanded over the SW Atlantic including the Bahamas: While parts of the Atlantic are cooler than avg., it's important to realize the water is still warm enough to support tropical systems.... SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Global tropical activity:
  • The 'Buresh Bottom Line': Always be prepared!.....First Alert Hurricane Survival Guide... City of Jacksonville Preparedness Guide... Georgia Hurricane Guide.   STAY INFORMED: Get the * FREE * First Alert Weather app FREE NEWS UPDATES, ALERTS: Action News Jax app for Apple | For Android WATCH 'Surviving the Storm' READ the First Alert Hurricane Center 'Survival Guide' RECAP 'Hurricane Dorian: A True Tropical Beast' ** There are no tropical threats to Jacksonville/NE Fl. & SE Ga. over the next few days. However, a disturbance will need to be monitored over the Western Gulf of Mexico later this week while t.d. # 15 stays over the far Eastern Atlantic ** A strong & large wave that came of the coast of Africa has quickly become tropical depression #15.  The system will turn rather sharply northward initially before bending back to the west once weaker & more shallow. #15 will not manage to get far west across the Atlantic & weakening should be rather fast by late week due to dry air, shear & cooler sea surface temps. Generally unsettled conditions continue near Central America.  Low pressure is forming near & over Central America & will move into the SW & Western Gulf of Mexico later this week where some attempts at tropical development will be possible.  Depending on how this low develops, there may be impacts on the Gulf Coast late week into the weekend though it's too early to specifically define these impacts.  A second area of low pressure will emerge from this 'disturbed' weather over the far East Pacific & may also develop affecting the west coast of Mexico.     Atlantic dust: 2019 names..... 'Nestor' is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:   East Atlantic: Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment: The Atlantic Basin: Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air): Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean: Sea surface temp. anomalies show a warm Gulf of Mexico, Central & Northwest Atlantic while the 'Main Development Region' (MDR) remain cooler than avg.  A pocket of cool water temps. has expanded over the SW Atlantic including the Bahamas: While parts of the Atlantic are cooler than avg., it's important to realize the water is still warm enough to support tropical systems.... SE U.S. surface map: Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic: Surface analysis of the Gulf: Caribbean:   Global tropical activity:

The Latest News Headlines

  • FBI toxicology reports ruled out foul play in the deaths of at least three U.S. tourists to the Dominican Republic, the State Department said Friday. >> Read more trending news  The bureau assisted with the toxicology tests of three of at least nine Americans who fell ill and died while visiting the Caribbean destination earlier this year, CNN reported.  Specifically, the FBI determined Nathaniel Holmes, Cynthia Day and Miranda Schaup-Werner each died of natural causes, findings consistent with those of Dominican Republic authorities, USA Today reported. Schaup-Werner, 41, of Pennsylvania, died in May at the Grand Bahia Principe in La Romana, with Dominican authorities attributing her death to a heart attack. Meanwhile, Holmes, 63, and Day, 49, were found dead in their shared hotel room at the Playa Nueva Romana resort. In that case, Dominican authorities ruled the Maryland couple died of respiratory failure and pulmonary edema, USA Today reported. A State Department official confirmed to CNN that relatives of the deceased have been notified of the FBI results and issued the following statement: “Our condolences and sympathy go out to the families during this difficult time.” USA Today reportedThe test results have also been shared with Dominican authorities and ruled out several potential causes of death for the Maryland couple, including methanol poisoning from tainted alcohol, USA Today reported. 
  • Colorado authorities have arrested a man in connection with the gruesome Thursday morning discovery of an unidentified woman’s body inside a suitcase in a dumpster. >> Read more trending news  Pueblo Police Sgt. Frank Ortega confirmed to KKTV Anthony Cuevas was taken into custody Friday evening and is expected to face a charge of first-degree murder. According to a news release issued by the Pueblo Police Department, Cuevas, 36, also faces a warrant for violating his parole. His wife, Melanie Ann Cuevas, also 36, was arrested on a criminal impersonation warrant. KKTV reported a suspect police now believe was Cuevas was caught on surveillance footage in the area of the dumpster about three hours before the woman’s body was found. In the video, the suspect can be seen taking the suitcase out of the car’s trunk and tossing it into the dumpster. Although the woman’s identity has not been made public, police have confirmed she had a very distinctive clown tattoo and was found wearing a U.S. Air Force T-shirt and M&M candy shorts, KMGH reported. Read more here and here.
  • A suspect is in custody following an early-morning shooting on the Grambling State University campus Friday that left two people, including a police officer, wounded. >> Read more trending news  Princeston Andre Adams, 19, is charged with two counts of attempted second-degree murder. Louisiana state troopers arrested the former Grambling student and Shreveport, Louisiana, resident Friday morning, KSLA reported. Louisiana State Police Trooper Michael Reichardt told KNOE the shooting happened at a party outside of the Frederick C. Hobdy Assembly Center. Reichardt also confirmed the wounded officer was shot in the leg, but his injuries are considered non-life-threatening. The second victim – identified only as a non-student – was shot twice in the torso and remains at North Louisiana Medical Center in Shreveport for treatment of life-threatening injuries, the station reported. Grambling State University President Rick Gallot issued the following statement: “Our goal at Grambling State University is to provide a safe, enjoyable environment for our students. To help in this effort, we will work with our student life and campus safety teams to grow our policies and procedures to better accommodate our student body. Our hearts and prayers go out to those impacted by last night’s events both directly and indirectly. I encourage all of our campus and community to support Louisiana State Police in their investigation by calling (318) 274-2222 with any related information.” Adams’ bond has been set at $1 million, KSLA reported. Original report: Authorities are investigating an early-morning shooting on the Grambling State University campus that left two people injured, including a police officer, KTBS reported. According to a safety update issued by university officials, campus authorities responded around 1:30 a.m. to an indoor firearm discharge at the Frederick C. Hobdy Assembly Center. Two individuals – including the officer and a non-student – were transported to North Louisiana Medical Center for treatment of injuries. The severity of the injuries suffered was not immediately available. According to KTBS, witnesses told officers on the scene a suspect fled campus following the shooting, and the Louisiana State Police Department will continue investigating. Anyone with any details related to the incident is encouraged to call (318) 274-2222. 
  • Police in Indiana charged a 24-year-old woman with reckless homicide after a crash at a school bus stop in Rochester left three children dead and one severely injured in October 2018. >> Read more trending news Update 9:04 p.m. EDT Oct. 18: Alyssa Shepherd was found guilty Friday of felony reckless homicide in the Oct. 30, 2018 car accident that left Alivia Stahl, 9, and her twin 6-year-old brothers Mason and Xzavier dead and Maverik Lowe severely injured, WNDU reported.  Original report: The children were crossing the street to get to their Tippecanoe Valley School Corporation bus around 7:15 a.m. Tuesday when they were struck by a 2017 Toyota Tacoma driven by Alyssa Shepherd, according to Indiana State Police. Police said that at the time of the crash, the school bus was stopped in front of a mobile home park with its stop arm down and lights flashing. Three Mentone Elementary School students, identified as 6-year-old twins Xzavier Ingle and Mason Ingle and their sister Alivia Stahl, 9, died at the scene. A fourth child, identified as 11-year-old Tippecanoe Valley Middle School student Maverik Lowe, was airlifted to a hospital with multiple broken bones and internal injuries, police said. He was last listed in serious condition. >> 3 children killed, 1 injured while boarding school bus in Indiana “It’s everybody’s responsibility to make sure our children get to and from school safely, and when it doesn’t happen, which it did not in this case, it’s heartbreaking,” Indiana State Police Sgt. Tony Slocum told WSBT. “I haven’t seen troopers cry in a long time, but I saw that today.” Xzavier, Mason and Alivia’s uncle, Elgin Ingle, told WNDU that his family is grappling with the magnitude of their loss. “(My brother) didn’t lose one kid. He lost all of his kids,” Ingle said. “What do you tell your little brother? How do you tell your little brother it's going to get better? You can't.' He described his nephews to WRTV as 'shy at first' but, 'Once you got past the shyness, the two boys were a life spark. They were nonstop, happy, go-fast, jumpy boys.' He said Alivia was a go-getter and 'the kindest child you'll ever meet.' 'My two nephews and my niece were taken from me because somebody didn't pay attention,' Ingle told WRTV. 'How could you look away from the road? Everybody knows buses stop at this time of day.'  Authorities charged Shepherd with three counts of reckless homicide and one count of passing a school bus with the stop arm extended, causing injury. She was booked into Fulton County Jail Tuesday. Police continue to investigate.
  • A Kansas City man has been arrested in the killing Monday of a transgender woman, the second to die in the city so far this year and at least the 20th across the nation, authorities said. The Associated Press reported that Brianna “BB” Hill, 30, also of Kansas City, was shot around 11:30 a.m. Monday. Hill, who went by Breonna Be’Be Hill on Facebook, was dead when officers arrived at the scene. >> Read more trending news Kansas City police Capt. Tim Hernandez told the AP that the alleged shooter, whose name has not been released, remained at the scene and was taken into custody. As of Wednesday, no charges had been filed, the news service said. Hernandez said he could not discuss the motive for the shooting but said it was not related to Hill’s status as a transgender woman, the AP reported. Hill is the second transgender woman killed so far this year in Kansas City, records show. According to the Human Rights Campaign, she is the 21st transgender woman or gender nonconforming person to die by violence across the country in 2019. The Advocate puts the nationwide number of slain transgender women at 20, however, noting some confusion about the gender identity of one victim, Jamagio Jamar Berryman. “Transgender Americans are facing an epidemic of violence,” the Advocate reported, citing 24 known killings of transgender Americans in 2018. The magazine said the number could be higher “as, undoubtedly, some victims were misgendered by police or media, or their deaths not reported at all.” “The majority of victims in any year tracked by The Advocate have been women of color,” the magazine stated. Click here to see a report by the Advocate on all the transgender people killed so far in 2019. Hill, who was black, was killed the day before jury selection was set to begin in Dallas for Edward Dominic Thomas, 29, who is accused of beating another black, transgender woman, Muhlaysia Booker, in April following a fender bender outside an apartment complex in the Oak Cliff section of the city. Booker, whose beating was caught on video, spoke publicly at a rally the week after the assault to call for justice in her case, the AP reported. The 23-year-old was found shot to death May 18 on a Dallas street. Kendrell Lavar Lyles, 33, is charged with murder in the killing and is a suspect in the homicides of two additional women. >> Related story: Suspect arrested in death of transgender Dallas woman and 2 others, police say The Dallas Morning News reported Wednesday that Thomas’ defense is arguing that Booker, who his attorneys call by her birth name and describe with male pronouns, brought the fight upon herself. Transgender actress and activist Laverne Cox spoke to Buzzfeed earlier this year about the rash of violence against the transgender community. “Your attraction to me as a trans woman is not a reason to kill me,” Cox said in an interview on BuzzFeed News’ Twitter morning show, “AM to DM.” “There’s this whole sort of myth that trans women are out there tricking people, that they deserve to be murdered, and that’s not the case.” Berryman, who also went by Ja’leyah-Jamar Berryman, was killed last month just across the Missouri state line in Kansas City, Kansas. Though area activists initially identified Berryman as a transgender woman, Berryman’s family released a video on social media clarifying that he identified as a gender nonconforming man. Berryman was found shot in the street around 2:30 p.m. Sept. 13 near 60th Street and Leavenworth Road, according to the Kansas City (Kansas) Police Department. Berryman died a short time later at an area hospital. Two days later, investigators released images of a person of interest and a white 2006 Pontiac G6 connected to the case. KMBC reported that the car was found abandoned in Kansas City, Missouri, three days after Berryman was slain. The person of interest, believed to be an ex-boyfriend of Berryman’s, has not been identified by police, the Advocate said. No arrests have been reported in Berryman’s death. Berryman’s cousin posted about his death on Facebook. “Ja’leyah-Jamar didn’t ask for this life,” Adriana Sanders wrote, according to the magazine. “No one can control who they love. God made us to live and love and to grow. It’s not our fault as a transgender woman or a homosexual man to want to live a normal life, wanting to be in love have a family, build your own legacy. “Because a man could not accept who he was as himself and individual, he felt the need to take my cousin’s life.” Berryman’s obituary said he “loved the artistry of designing hair, playing his game, playing with his nieces and nephews, nagging his siblings and spending quality time with his daughter, Ja’mya (Berryman).” Ja’mya was 5 years old when she lost her parent, KSHB in Kansas City reported. “She keeps, like (saying), ‘I want my daddy, where my daddy at?’ And it’s just, like, how do you answer that question to a 5-year-old?' Ronnie Gates, a friend and former longtime boyfriend of Berryman’s, told the news station. Berryman’s mother, along with other family members and friends, mourned Berryman by releasing red and black balloons in his honor three days after his killing. They gathered at the intersection where he was found. His young daughter was pictured sitting quietly on the sidewalk, wearing a backpack and gazing at the balloons near the curb. “That’s Jamar’s baby. She is now without a father,” a family member captioned the photo. “I’ll never be the same,” Berryman’s mother, Jennifer Gibson, told KSHB. “I’ll never be the same.” The Human Rights Campaign, which touts itself as the nation’s largest LGBTQ civil rights organization, issued a statement following Berryman’s slaying. “This epidemic of violence that disproportionately targets trans people of color -- particularly black trans women -- must cease,” read a post on the organization’s Twitter feed. Likewise, HRC officials spoke out this week about Hill’s killing. “Hill, like all of us, had hopes, dreams, aspirations and plans for the future,” HRC spokesperson Elliott Kozuch told Newsweek. “She had family and friends who are mourning this senseless loss, a loss that is part of a larger epidemic of violence against the transgender community in this country, spurred by a toxic mix of transphobia, racism, misogyny and unchecked gun violence.” Kozuch said while the transgender community has protections in employment, housing and public accommodations in Kansas City, there are no state nondiscrimination protections for the marginalized community. Transgender people are also not among the groups covered by Missouri’s hate crimes legislation. According to HRC data, all but five states across the country have laws addressing hate crimes, but the laws vary greatly in who they protect. Fifteen states do not address sexual orientation or gender identity in their hate crime laws, the HRC shows. See the Human Rights Campaign's map of hate crime laws in the U.S. below. Members of the LGBTQ community mourned Hill’s death on social media. “Rest in power, beloved,” one woman wrote on Facebook, adding a broken heart emoji. “Brianna Hill. #SayHerName.” Transgender actress, singer, teacher and activist Alexandra Billings also spoke out about Hill and every other transgender woman who has been killed or faces violence for who they are. “My sisters, I see you,” Billings wrote on Facebook. “I am with you because I am one of you, and we will survive this. Our government will not continue to ignore us, and our allies will speak up. We will revolt and we will rise. We are made of sturdy stuff. We have lived through the centuries and it will take more than a few violent men to eradicate us from the human experience. “We are part of this world and we deserve to be here. We will not let this stand.” Besides the death of Berryman, Hill’s slaying in Kansas City also comes on the heels of the June 25 killing of Brooklyn Lindsey, 32, who was found dead on the porch of an abandoned home on Spruce Avenue, court records show. She died of multiple gunshot wounds. Neighbors, who didn’t identify themselves out of fear of retaliation, told KCTV Lindsey had been badly beaten before they heard the gunshots that killed her. According to court records, investigators recovered five shell casings from around Lindsey’s body and tested the casings for DNA evidence. A profile was obtained and entered into CODIS, the FBI’s Combined DNA Index System, which matched the genetic material to Marcus S. Lewis. Investigators learned that Lewis was in a relationship with the owner of a black Chevy Impala. The car was spotted by license plate readers driving in the area of the shooting around the time that the Kansas City Police Department received a report of shots fired about four blocks from where Lindsey’s body was found. Read the probable cause statement in the Brooklyn Lindsey slaying below. Charging Document in Brooklyn Lindsey Homicide by National Content Desk on Scribd Lewis, 41, was arrested in July and indicted last month on charges of second-degree murder, armed criminal action and unlawful possession of a firearm, court records show. Court records, which identify Lindsey as male and by her given name instead of her chosen one, show that Lewis told detectives he shot Lindsey after she propositioned him, “attempting to solicit a date,” and would not leave him alone after he declined her advances. He said he sold the gun, which he had bought earlier in the day, to an unknown person after the homicide. “l believe that Marcus Lewis poses a danger to the community or to any other persons because he is a habitual unregistered sex offender,” Detective Ryan Taylor wrote in a probable cause statement. “He is under investigation for aggravated domestic violence involving a firearm and an armed business robbery involving a firearm.” Court records indicate Lewis has also been indicted in that case. He remained in the Jackson County Jail Friday, awaiting trial. The unlawful firearm possession charge stems from Lewis’ April 1998 conviction of first-degree statutory rape, a felony in Missouri. As a convicted felon, he is not permitted to have a firearm. Lindsey was described by friends as an activist who worked with organizations like the Kansas City Anti-Violence Project. The organization spoke out last month after Berryman’s death. “As we hold space to remember and uplift Ja’Leyah, we must also recognize the factors at play that contribute to the dramatically increased risk of violence that trans women of color, especially black trans women, face every day,” a post on the group’s Facebook page read. “Restrictions on basic needs and services like housing, employment, safe streets, healthcare and protection under the law are just some barriers that put our sisters in harm’s way daily. “The discriminatory and violent systems that perpetuate violence against transgender women of color are a direct result of bias from within and outside our own communities. Ja’leyah’s light shone to a select few, but we will let her light shine on all of us today.” Kris Wade, with the Justice Project Kansas City, told CNN she knew Lindsey well and had helped her for more than a decade. She described Lindsey as a “sweetheart,” and an intelligent woman who did not come from the streets, but sometimes ended up there. “She felt that she had not lost her humanity out there,” Wade told CNN. Wade said Lindsey, who had been brutally beaten and hospitalized just weeks before her death, needed to get off the street, but Justice Project was unable to find her a bed. “We didn’t have any money to put her up,” Wade said. Lindsey died at the same intersection where a Hispanic transgender woman, Tamara Dominguez, 36, was run over and killed Aug. 15, 2015. The driver of the truck, Luis Sanchez, ran over Dominguez repeatedly, according to witnesses. Members of the LGBTQ community condemned the “atrocious” act in the days after Dominguez’s death. “There’s this horrible dark underbelly of hatred that goes on and on and on and on and it must stop,” Caroline Gibbs, director of the Transgender Institute of Kansas City, told KCTV at the time. Dominguez’s brother, Alberto Dominguez, spoke to the news station through a friend, Juan Rendon, who translated his Spanish to English. “He just want to say to the person that did that to her, that he (Alberto) would forgive them for what he did to her,” Rendon translated as Dominguez started to cry, the news station reported. “We are not here to judge nobody, and he (Alberto) hopes that person really feels bad for what he did.” Sanchez, who was initially charged with murder, was convicted of voluntary manslaughter in December 2018 and sentenced to 18 years in prison. Now 31, he is serving his sentence at the Jefferson City Correctional Center, according to the Missouri Department of Corrections. Tamara Dominguez was loved, her brother told KCTV. “He doesn’t know she has family. She had her mom. She had her nephews, brothers and sisters. That person didn’t think about what he did,” Rendon translated.

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