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Buresh Blog: Fantastic sky pics.... Dying El Nino... Historical past hurricane seasons
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Buresh Blog: Fantastic sky pics.... Dying El Nino... Historical past hurricane seasons

Buresh Blog: Fantastic sky pics.... Dying El Nino... Historical past hurricane seasons

Buresh Blog: Fantastic sky pics.... Dying El Nino... Historical past hurricane seasons

The "Buresh Blog" will be on vacation :) for a few days.... next update will be the week of Aug. 26th....

Of course, the tropics could always have different ideas.  Every single day through the hurricane season I update the "Talking the Tropics With Mike" * here *.

Speaking of the tropics.... it was 15 years ago that a blitzkrieg of sorts developed over the Atlantic Basin.  From the first week of Aug. through the end of Sept., 9 named storms formed, 5 of which hit Fl. Tropical storm Bonnie made landfall in the Panhandle on Aug. 12th dropping an F-2 tornado on the northwest side of Jacksonville... Cat. 4 hurricane Charley followed the next day on the SW coast of Fl... hurricanes Frances & Jeanne (more than 3,000 deaths in Haiti) made landfall at the exact same spot on the east coast just a few weeks apart.... & mighty hurricane Ivan hit Pensacola & ravaged the Western Panhandle later in Sept. 

To say the 2004 hurricane season had a lasting impact on Fl. would be an understatement.  Consider:

(1) hurricane days (like snow days up north) were added to school district calendars & remain a fixture for all school districts to this day.

(2) the hurricane deductible was born & is maintained by most Fl. insurance companies to this day. The implication: if a named storm does damage to one's property, a hurricane deductible has to be paid (usually far higher than the standard deductible) before insurance kicks in & pays.

(3) the '04 season was the first time since hurricane Andrew that upgraded building codes were tested.  The results were very positive. 

And it was 50 years ago the weekend of Aug. 17-18, 1969 - that intense Cat. 5 hurricane Camille hit the Central Gulf Coast roaring ashore near Bay St. Louis, Mississippi during the middle of the night. The relatively small but violent hurricane is one of only 4 (in addition to Labor Day hurricane, 1935... Andrew, 1992... Michael, 2018) Cat. 5 hurricanes to ever make landfall on U.S. soil. The Mobile N.W.S. has an informative online write-up * here *.... vintage photos from the Times-Picayune * here *.

 

Speaking of El Nino, '04.... NOAA has officially called it "over".  There is still some water left near the Western & Central equatorial Pacific but water has noticeably cooled to the east as can be seen in the image below.  So we will need to watch for a potentially more active mid to late hurricane season given this scenario IF all other things are equal (favorable for development).

 

Forecasts below for a neutral state vs. El Nino & vs. La Nina into spring, 2020 with a model trend of slightly positive ENSO state but still generally below the El Nino threshold:

The mid August skies have delivered recently! First pic below from Lauren Jackson Romeo, Vilano Beach - iridescent pileus clouds! The rainbow effect is caused by the ice crystals in the anvil/high level part of the "thunderhead" (cumulonimbus cloud), reflecting & refracting the sunlight.

Randy Harris, St. Augustine:

Masyn Warner:

0

Lightning Sun. evening struck the runway at JIA!:

1

Jerome Smith, Jax Beach - Kelvin-Helmholtz clouds! These uncommon clouds are usually difficult to photograph because the formation does not last long.  Caused by differing wind speeds at different levels of the atmosphere.

Erin Hires, Bryceville - crepuscular rays!  Caused by the clouds low on the horizon creating shadows as the sun rises.

August/early Sept. night skies from Sky & Telescope:
 

Aug. 24 (dawn): The waning crescent Moon, in Taurus, is just 2° from the red giant star Aldebaran.
Aug. 28 (dawn): The sliver of the waning crescent Moon is in or near the Beehive star cluster in Cancer.
 
Sep. 5 (evening): The first-quarter Moon and Jupiter hang in the south-southwest above Antares, the Scorpion’s heart.
Sep. 6 (dusk): The Moon, brilliant Jupiter, and dimmer Saturn grace the sky above the tail of Scorpius.
Sep. 7 (dusk): Saturn sits to the upper right of the waxing gibbous Moon, hanging above the Teapot of Sagittarius.
 
Moon Phases
New Moon: July 31, 11:12 p.m. EDT
First Quarter: August 7, 12:31 p.m. EDT
Full Moon: August 15, 7:29 a.m. EDT (Full Sturgeon Moon; also Full Red Moon)
Last Quarter: August 23, 10:56 a.m. EDT
New Moon: August 30, 6:37 a.m. EDT

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The Latest News Headlines

  • A man was found dead in a home in the Whitehouse area of Jacksonville’s westside.  Jacksonville Police say the victim was shot inside of a home on W. Beaver Street near Chaffee Road.  JSO is working to speak with people who were at the house and in the area at the time of this morning’s shooting. 
  • Coming off a chilly and mainly dreary weekend, some nice weather is ahead this week.  Action News Jax Chief Meteorologist Mike Buresh says we’ll start a warming trend with afternoon temperatures today in the mid and upper 60’s.   By Tuesday we’ll see more sunshine and warmer temps in the upper 60’s and low 70’s.  Our next cold front approaches and passes by the end of the weekend bringing our next best shot at some rain.  
  • A search is underway for an escaped work release inmate who was able to somehow remove his GPS ankle monitor.   The Jacksonville Sheriff’s Office says 36-year-old Victor Nash failed to return from work release on Sunday. He was last seen in the area of Hogans Creek near North Catherine Street.  Jail records show Nash was arrested in August for three counts of burglary and was due to be released in June.   JSO says Nash was wearing a gray hooded sweatshirt, blue jeans and black sneakers at the time he fled. Anyone who has seen or knows the whereabouts of Victor Nash is asked to contact the Jacksonville Sheriff's Office at 904-630-0500.  To remain anonymous and receive a possible reward up to $3,000, contact Crime Stoppers at 1-866-845-TIPS.
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