H 79° L 56°
  • clear-night
    Current Conditions
    Sunny. H 79° L 56°
  • clear-day
    Sunny. H 79° L 56°
  • clear-day
    Sunny. H 79° L 56°

The latest top stories

00:00 | 00:00


The latest traffic report

00:00 | 00:00


The latest forecast

00:00 | 00:00

Talking the Tropics With Mike: 2018 season review

Talking the Tropics With Mike: 2018 season review

Talking the Tropics With Mike: 2018 season review
Photo Credit: Copyright 2018 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

Joyce Walker sits on her porch in front fallen trees outside her home in the aftermath of Hurricane Michael in Panama City, Fla., Wednesday, Oct. 17, 2018. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)

Talking the Tropics With Mike: 2018 season review

The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season will be remembered for two very damaging U.S. landfalling hurricanes - Florence in the Carolina's in September & Michael slamming the Florida Panhandle in October.  Some "highlights":

* 4th straight year that a tropical cyclone formed before the "official" start of the season, June 1st. ("Alberto" formed May 25th)

* First year since 2008 to have 4 named storms at once - "Florence", "Helene", "Isaac" & "Joyce"

* Michael was the strongest hurricane to ever hit the Fl. Panhandle... 3rd most intense to make a U.S. landfall with a central pressure of 919mb (27.14" of mercury!)... 4th strongest winds at 155 mph (final analysis/report still pending)

* Florence set tropical cyclone records for total rainfall in S. Carolina (23.63" & N. Carolina (35.93")

The number of storms was slightly above average & generally higher than early or preseason forecasts.  The uptick in activity can be blamed on - or at least partially attributed to - a very slow to develop El Nino (warming of the equatorial Pacific that usually cuts down the number of storms due to higher shear throughout & near the tropics) & a pretty decent increase in ocean temps. late in Aug. through Oct. vs. cooler than avg. temps. that dominated the first few months of the season - especially over tropical Atlantic.

The four storms that made a U.S. landfall: Alberto (TS) - late May... Gordon (TS) - early Sept.... Florence (Cat. 1 hurricane) - mid Sept.... Michael - Cat. 4 hurricane - Oct.......

Courtesy Dr. Phil Klotzbach, Colorado State U:

A satellite animation showing the 2018 hurricane season in its entirety:

A month by month breakdown:


25th - subtropical storm Alberto develops over the Yucatan Channel

28th - tropical storm Alberto makes landfall in the Florida Panhandle northwest of Panama City as relatively weak tropical storm heavily weighted with rain & wind on the eastern side (typical of early season storms).

JUNE: No storms

JULY: (2 tropical cyclones)

5th - tropical depression #2 forms over the East Central Atlantic & becomes tropical storm Beryl.  Noteworthy since Beryl developed over the Main Development Region (MDR) so early in the season, so far south & east & over relatively cool water.

6th - Beryl becomes a hurricane over the Central Atlantic - farthest south & east that a hurricane has formed so early in the season... tropical depression #3 forms 450 miles NE of Jacksonville.  Beryl degenerated into an open wave on July 8th only to become subtropical storm on the 14th well east of the N.E. U.S. with the final advisory from the NHC on the 15th.

8th - tropical depression #3 becomes tropical storm Chris over SW Atlantic

10th - Chris becomes a hurricane over the W. Atlantic

AUGUST: (3 tropical cyclones)

6th - subtropical storm Debby forms over the N. Atlantic

15th - subtropical storm Ernesto forms over the NE Atlantic & becomes a tropical storm on the 16th

31st - tropical depression #6 forms over the E. Atlantic

SEPTEMBER: (8 tropical cyclones)

1st - tropical depression #6 becomes tropical storm Florence

3rd - tropical storm Gordon forms near Key Largo, Fl. then makes landfall as tropical storm on the 4th near Pascagoula

4th - Florence becomes a hurricane over E. Atlantic & becomes a Cat. 4 on the 5th

7th - tropical depressions 8 & 9 develop over the E. Atlantic - #8 becomes tropical storm Helene

8th - tropical depression #9 becomes tropical storm Isaac

9th - Florence becomes a hurricane again after weakening to a t.d. on the 5th.... Helene & Isaac become hurricanes

12th - tropical storm Joyce forms over the N. Atlantic

14th - Hurricane Florence landfall - Cat. 1 - Wrightsville, NC about 7:15pm EDT - Buresh Blog: "Florence & its Nuances".  Tropical cyclone rainfall records were set in N. & S. Carolina.  Flooding below is in Jacksonville, NC.  Most rivers did not fall below flood stage for at least 2 weeks & - in the longest case - not until a month later!

The landfall forecast from the NHC was spot on 5 days in advance!  Still some difficulties with intensity, but there was plenty of warning for Florence.


21st - tropical depression #11 forms east of Lesser Antilles

22nd - tropical storm Kirk forms over the E. Atlantic

23rd - subtropical storm Leslie forms over N. Atlantic

26th - tropical storm Kirk reforms after weakening to an open wave on the 24th

OCTOBER: (4 tropical cyclones)

3rd - Leslie becomes a hurricane Central Atlantic

7th - tropical depression #14 forms over the Southern Gulf of Mexico & becomes tropical storm Michael

8th - Michael strengthens into a Cat. 3.... tropical storm Nadine forms over the E. Atlantic

9th - Michael becomes a Cat. 4 with a landfall at Mexico Beach, Fl. southeast of Panama City about 2pm EDT.  See the Buresh Blog: "Forecasting monster hurricane Michael".  Photos & video * here *.



Funnel cloud over Western Clay Co. about 40 miles SW of Jacksonville within an outer band east of Michael:

NOAA hurricane hunter WP-3D passing through the eye of Michael on Oct. 10th: *

26th - subtropical storm Oscar forms over the Central Atlantic & becomes a hurricane on the 28th before becoming post-tropical on the 31st - the last NHC advisory of the season.

NOVEMBER: No storms

2019 Atlantic storm names which "officially" begins June 1st:

Read More

The Latest News Headlines

  • Pope Francis is delivering his annual Easter message Sunday after leading Mass at St. Peter's Square in Vatican City. >> Watch the address here Every year after the Easter Mass, the pope delivers an “Urbi et Orbi” (“to the city and the world”) message, which addresses global issues and conflicts. >> PHOTOS: Pope Francis celebrates Easter Mass at the Vatican This year’s speech comes hours after blasts rocked multiple churches and hotels in Sri Lanka, killing dozens of people and injuring hundreds more. >> Read more trending news  Please return for updates.
  • Explosions hit at least three churches and four hotels in Sri Lanka on Easter Sunday, killing dozens of people and injuring hundreds more, news outlets are reporting. >> PHOTOS: Easter Sunday blasts at Sri Lanka churches, hotels kill dozens Here are the latest updates: Update 5:32 a.m. EDT April 21: Two more blasts have been reported in Sri Lanka. A seventh explosion hit a hotel in Dehiwala, and an eighth blast was reported in the capital, Agence France-Presse is reporting. Update 4:20 a.m. EDT April 21: At least 156 people were killed in blasts at three churches and three hotels in Sri Lanka, Agence France-Presse is reporting. The dead include 35 foreigners, officials said. Update 3:34 a.m. EDT April 21: At least 137 people were killed in blasts at three churches and three hotels in Sri Lanka, Agence France-Presse is reporting. The dead include 45 people in Colombo, 67 in Negombo and 25 in Batticaloa, officials said. At least nine of the people killed were foreigners, the news agency reported. More than 500 people were hurt in the explosions, according to The Associated Press. Original report: Explosions hit three churches and three hotels in Sri Lanka on Easter Sunday, killing dozens of people and injuring nearly 300 more, news outlets are reporting. According to The Associated Press, blasts occurred Sunday morning at St. Anthony’s Shrine in Colombo, St. Sebastian’s Church in Negombo and a church in Batticaloa. Explosions also rocked the Kingsbury, Cinnamon Grand and Shangri La hotels in Colombo, the BBC reported. >> Read more trending news The Agence France-Presse news agency said 52 people died in the blasts. At least 283 people were taken to the hospital, the AP reported. Suicide bombers may have caused at least two of the church blasts, a security official told the AP.  – The Associated Press contributed to this report
  • The Jacksonville Sheriff's Office says a 19-year-old man has been arrested for a deadly double shooting back in February.  JSO asked for your help finding the suspect, Trevon Wiley, just days after the February 16th shooting on Matthew Street; now he's been taken into custody.  According to police, Wiley was sitting in a barber chair next to one of the victims getting their haircut. Police say he then stood up, without saying anything, displayed a gun and then shot the victim multiple times, killing him. Police identified the victim as Ziykye Barnhill. JSO says a second person was shot during this incident, but survived.  Police say multiple witnesses came forward to help with the shooting investigation.  Wiley is charged with murder and attempted murder.
  • The family of a 5-year-old boy thrown from a third-floor balcony at the Mall of America last week says he is making “small steps” as he recovers from his devastating injuries. Landen Hoffman was shopping with his mother and friends around 10:15 a.m. April 12 when Emmanuel Deshawn Aranda, 24, of Minneapolis, is accused of picking the boy up and hurling him over a railing to the first floor nearly 40 feet below. Aranda tried to run, but police, with help from witnesses, found him on a light rail train at the mall and took him into custody.  >> Read more trending news “The family doesn’t know him and are completely clueless as to why this monster would target their family with this heinous act of violence,” a GoFundMe page set up to help with Landen’s medical bills states. As of Friday morning, the page had raised more than $870,000 of its $1 million goal.  Landen, who suffered broken arms and legs and significant head trauma, was initially in critical condition, according to the criminal complaint against Aranda. His condition has since stabilized, but he has a long road to recovery, the GoFundMe page reads.  “(His) condition is again similar to previous days. Another peaceful night of sleep -- small steps towards the healing process. Each new day is a good day,” the page read Thursday.  “Landen's recovery is expected to be ongoing for a long time. While it’s hard to estimate costs, this will change everything for their family and require much of their time and focus.” Aranda is charged with attempted premeditated first-degree murder, according to Hennepin County Attorney Mike Freeman. Aranda is being held in the Hennepin County Jail in lieu of $2 million bond.  >> Related story: Man who threw 5-year-old from third floor of Mall of America intended to kill someone, police say “This crime has shocked the community,” Freeman said in a news release. “That a child, with his mother at a safe public area like a mall, could be violently attacked for no reason is chilling for everyone. Our victim advocates are working with the family during this very difficult time for them. We charged Mr. Aranda with the most severe crime that the evidence allowed.” Bloomington police Chief Jeff Potts said during a news conference Saturday that Aranda was cooperative with detectives. The criminal complaint indicates that Aranda confessed to committing the brazen assault.  Read the criminal complaint against Emmanuel Aranda below. “This is a horrific situation,” Potts said. “The family and this child are in our thoughts and prayers. I know the family appreciates all the thoughts and prayers they can get on this case.” The Hoffman family issued a statement through Freeman’s office showing appreciation for the outpouring of support from the community but requesting privacy as Landen recovers from his life-threatening injuries.  Mall of America officials also praised the outpouring of support. “We are grateful for the efforts of all the first responders involved -- including guests and tenants -- for their immediate actions and the outpouring of concern shown by so many for this young child and his family,” a statement read. “For those who have left gifts, flowers and messages of love at the mall, we thank you. Please know we will keep these items safe and handle them according to the family’s wishes.” The criminal complaint says Aranda told police he had gone to the mall on April 11 intending to kill an adult, but that it did not “work out.” He returned to the mall the next day.  “He said he planned to kill an adult because they usually stand near the balcony, but he chose the victim instead,” the document reads.  Aranda told investigators he chose to kill out of frustration over years of rejection from the opposite sex.  “Defendant indicated he had been coming to the mall for several years and had made efforts to talk to women in the mall, but had been rejected,” the complaint says. “The rejection caused him to lash out and be aggressive.”  Aranda admitted he knew what he did was wrong. “Defendant acknowledged repeatedly in his interview that he had planned and intended to kill someone at the mall that day, and that he was aware that what he was doing was wrong,” the document says.  According to the criminal complaint, surveillance camera footage shows Aranda walking on the third floor of the mall and looking over the balcony several times before approaching Landen and his mother.  Landen’s mother told detectives she saw Aranda approach and stand very close to her and her son, the newspaper reported. She asked him if he needed them to move. “Without warning, defendant picked up the victim and threw him off the third floor balcony in front of (Landen’s mother) and several other witnesses, including children,” the complaint states.  Witnesses told the Minneapolis Star Tribune they heard screaming after the boy went over the railing. “Oh my God! Pray for my son!” Landen’s mother begged, witnesses told the newspaper.  Potts said Saturday that Aranda previously was arrested at the Mall of America. Officers were called there in July 2015 after Aranda was seen throwing an object from the third floor.  “When the officers tried to speak with him, he became … he was not cooperative,” Potts said.  Aranda was charged in that incident with obstruction, disorderly conduct and damage to property, the chief said.  Watch the update from Bloomington police Chief Jeff Potts below.  He was also accused of trespassing at the mall previously after he threw a glass of water in a woman’s face and destroyed property, the criminal complaint says. It was not clear if that was the same incident Potts spoke about during his news conference.  Aranda had been banned from the mall, but apparently ignored the ban.  Aranda next came in contact with Bloomington police officers at a local restaurant, where he refused to pay his bill, Potts said. In a third 2015 incident, Aranda was accused of throwing a glass at a worker at a different restaurant.  He was charged with fifth-degree assault, trespassing, disorderly conduct and obstructing legal process in the third case. That was the last contact Bloomington officers had with Aranda prior to the alleged assault at the mall last week.  The Star Tribune reported that Aranda was also previously arrested for smashing computers at a public library in Minneapolis. At that time, he told arresting officers he has “anger issues,” the newspaper said.  Court records indicate Aranda has a string of arrests and convictions in Minnesota, as well as charges of assault and theft in Illinois, the Star Tribune reported. The criminal complaint indicates he had an outstanding warrant for assault in Illinois.  Judges have repeatedly ordered him to undergo mental health treatment, as well as to abstain from alcohol and drugs, the newspaper reported.  Prosecutors are taking Aranda’s latest Mall of America attack very seriously.  “The state intends to pursue an aggravated sentence based on particular cruelty to the victim, particular vulnerability of the victim and the commission of the act in the presence of other children and the victim’s mother,” the criminal complaint says.  The Mall of America website states that the facility “holds itself to the highest standards” when it comes to its security. It has 175 security officers on the payroll.  “We pride ourselves on our high caliber officers, training and forward-thinking attitude,” the webpage reads. “We take a holistic approach with our industry leading programs and practices which include bike patrol, K-9 units, special operations plain clothes officers, a state-of-the art dispatch center, parental escort policy, crisis planning and lockdown drills. “We are a unique property and we protect it as such.”
  • In a series of interviews Friday, White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders stood by her 2017 comments around the dismissal of FBI director James Comey despite telling special counsel Robert Mueller that her statements were made “’in the heat of the moment’” and “not founded on anything.” >> Read more trending news During a news conference after Comey’s abrupt firing in May 2017, Huckabee Sanders told reporters the White House had “heard from countless members of the FBI” who had lost confidence in Comey. However, Mueller’s team found, “The evidence does not support those claims,” according to the special counsel’s report. >> Mueller report: Key findings from the investigation “Sanders told this Office that her reference to hearing from ‘countless members of the FBI’ was a ‘slip of the tongue,’” investigators said in the Mueller report, which was redacted and released Thursday by U.S. Attorney General William Barr. Huckabee Sanders disputed the special counsel’s interpretation of her comments in an interview Friday with “CBS This Morning,” telling morning show anchors that she only meant to say the word “countless” was a slip of the tongue. >> Mueller investigation: Read the report “The big takeaway here is that the sentiment is 100 percent accurate,” Huckabee Sanders said. “The FBI is a better place without James Comey.” In an interview with “Good Morning America,” Huckabee Sanders insisted “there were a number of FBI, both former (and) current), that agreed with the president’s decision.” >> Mueller investigation: House committee subpoenas full report “I said that the word I used, countless … If you look (at) what’s in quotations from me, it’s that and it was ‘in the heat of the moment,’ meaning that it wasn’t a scripted talking point,” she said. “I’m sorry that I wasn’t a robot like the Democratic Party.” Despite her insistence that her comments about FBI support for Comey’s dismissal were “in the heat of the moment,” Politico noted she told reporters similar things on at least one other occasion, one day after making her initial comment about “countless members of the FBI.” “I can speak to my own personal experience,” she said in 2017, according to Politico. “I’ve heard from countless members of the FBI that are grateful and thankful for the president’s decision.”

The Latest News Videos