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** No areas of concern across the Atlantic that would affect the U.S. or any other land areas ** "Talking the Tropics With Mike" will resume with daily updates on June 1st.
Some "disturbed" weather is over the Eastern Atlantic about midway between the Caribbean & Africa. Shear is strong & no significant development is expected.
Quiet Caribbean & SE Gulf this season:
2019 names..... "Tanya" is next on the Atlantic list (names are picked at random... repeat every 6 years... historic storms are retired (Florence & Michael last year) & Dorian is almost certain to be next:
Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS). The red lines indicate strong shear of which there is plenty across the Atlantic at the moment:
The Atlantic Basin:
Water vapor imagery (dark blue indicates dry air):
Deep oceanic heat content is extreme over the NW Caribbean:
Sea surface temp. anomalies:
SE U.S. surface map:
Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:
Surface analysis of the Gulf:
Global tropical activity:
Typhoon Kammuri will affect the Philippines early next week: