Oct. 20, 2017 - Photos: Must-see photos of Irma damage in Jacksonville area .... hurricane Irma recap
Caribbean remains stormy... low pressure over Central Atlantic...
The Caribbean remains unsettled. This area bears watching as "something" tropical might try to slowly evolve & develop though forecast models are showing few signs of low pressure consolidating... for the moment at least.
Low pressure has developed over the Central Atlantic. There is a narrow window in which the low could try to become subtropical or even tropical before merging with a cold front & accelerating to the northeast. This low will stay over the open Atlantic.
Interesting map below tweeted by Erik Pindrock shows virtually all of Fl. has experienced at least tropical storm force winds this year... as well as the entire Gulf Coast... & as far north as N. Carolina on the east coast:
Deep oceanic heat content is still very evident - especially over the Caribbean.....
Sea surface temp. anomalies:
East Atlantic IR satellite:
Mid & upper level wind shear (enemy of tropical cyclones) analysis (CIMMS).
In the W. Pacific.... typhoon "Lan" is east of the Philippines & will move north. The tropical cyclone is expected to become intense before recurving northeast & accelerating while moving over or near Japan while the storm weakens late in the weekend/early next week.
SE U.S. surface map:
Surface analysis centered on the tropical Atlantic:
Surface analysis of the Gulf:
Extensive hurricane Irma recap - click here.