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The long term drought continues across NE Florida & SE Ga. Now forecast models are pointing to a developing El Nino (warming of the equatorial Pacific). An El Nino is known to help lower the number of tropical cyclones across the Atlantic Basin & to increase rainfall across the Southern & SE U.S. but not until late fall into winter. I did some quick research on Jacksonville rainfall during a moderate to strong El Nino (as is forecast for the upcoming summer) during the wet season & found rainfall was below average from June through September - graphic below:
Water temp. anomalies below shows generally neutral ENSO conditions (near average) along the equatorial Pacific with some hints of warming just starting to get underway:
NOAA is showing a high probability for an El Nino from summer through autumn:
May 3-9 is “Hurricane Preparedness Week” as deemed by the National Hurricane Center. You can always go to the First Alert Hurricane Center web page for updates & preparedness. Topics for preparedness week include (click):
- Know Your Risk - Water & Wind
- Prepare Before Hurricane Season
- Understand Forecast Information
- Get Moving When a Storm Threatens
- Stay Protected During Storms
- Use Caution After Storms
- Take Action Today
2026 Atlantic tropical cyclone names: