Jacksonville, FL - September 14th, 11 AM: Tropical Depression #9 has strengthened into Tropical Storm Humberto, with the storm’s track shifting even more east. Action News Jax Chief Meteorologist Mike Buresh says local impacts still look to be rough seas and surf, dangerous rip currents, and a breeze at the beaches. No inland impacts are expected.
September 13th, 8 PM: Action News Jax Chief Meteorologist Mike Buresh says with the tropical depression continuing to track east, he’s not expecting any local impacts inland. However, the beaches will see rough seas and surf, as well as dangerous rip currents.
#firstalertwx what's expected to become tropical storm then hurricane #Humberto stays well to the east of the local coastline. No local impacts inland but rough seas/surf at NE Fl./SE Ga. beaches with potentially deadly rip currents @WOKVNews pic.twitter.com/rZw1zQmVD5— Mike Buresh (@MikeFirstAlert) September 13, 2019
September 13th, 5 PM: Action News Jax Chief Meteorologist Mike Buresh says this system has been upgraded to a tropical depression as it continues moving near the Bahamas. He says the overall forecast track continues to shift east with few impacts for Northeast Florida, despite the system intensifying through early next week. However, he warns there will be dangerous surf at our beaches.
#firstalertwx disturbance near the Bahamas become tropical depression #9. Forecast tracks continues to shift east with few impacts for NE Fl./SE Ga. despite intensifying system through early next week. Will be dangerous surf at our beaches. @WOKVNews pic.twitter.com/9w22suDleG— Mike Buresh (@MikeFirstAlert) September 13, 2019
September 13th, 2 PM: Action News Jax Meteorologist Garrett Bedenbaugh says the latest advisory on potential tropical cyclone nine shows no real changes in its projected path, however, he says the system is getting more organized.
September 13th, 11AM: The forecast track for what is expected to become Humberto continues its push to the east. Action News Jax Chief Meteorologist Mike Buresh says at this time there are few significant impacts expected for Northeast Florida this weekend. Mike says there is a dangerous rip current risk at area beaches though through the weekend.
#firstalertwx shift east continues on what will likely become #Humberto - few significant impacts for NE Fl./SE Ga. - especially inland - expected AT THIS TIME - dangerous rip current risk at area beaches through the weekend @WOKVNews pic.twitter.com/w4FoXP2xJh— Mike Buresh (@MikeFirstAlert) September 13, 2019
September 13, 8 AM: The forecast track of what is expected to become Humberto this weekend has brought a Tropical Storm Watch for parts of E. Central Florida and a Tropical Storm Warning for the central and norther Bahamas.
Action News Jax Chief Meteorologist Mike Buresh says, at the very least we can expect rough seas and surf at our area beaches and a high rip current risk with gusty breezes. If the disturbance stays a little east, that would be about all the impacts with only some rain until the system passes by our area.
However, if it takes a more southern route into Florida then it would be much wetter for our local area.
It is not likely that this disturbance will be able to intensify strongly before reaching Florida.
INDEPTH: Talking the Tropics with Mike Buresh
Here are the 5 AM Friday, September 13 Key Messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone #Nine. The Tropical Storm Watch for the east-central coast of Florida now extends from Jupiter Inlet to the Flagler-Volusia County Line. https://t.co/57Tck7DFVc pic.twitter.com/07r8XkkUn8— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) September 13, 2019
#firstalertwx 11pm Thu., 09/12 * UPDATE * - forecast track of what's expected to become "Humberto"... tropical storm WATCH issued for parts of E. Central Fl... tropical storm WARNING continues Central/Northern Bahamas @WOKVNews pic.twitter.com/ZN0Trg7vJa— Mike Buresh (@MikeFirstAlert) September 13, 2019
Here are the 11 PM Thursday, September 12 Key Messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine. A Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect for the east-central coast of Florida from Jupiter Inlet to the Volusia-Brevard County Line. https://t.co/d4rk2mGGFo pic.twitter.com/SlDLsfdwAo— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) September 13, 2019
September 12, 5 AM: A tropical wave in the southeast Bahamas is quite disorganized now but threatens to bring soaking rain to NE Florida late this weekend, and maybe more.
Action News Jax Chief Meteorologist Mike Buresh says the disturbance is not likely to become a major storm before hitting Florida.
“There’s quite a wide array of possibilities here, anywhere from the eastern Gulf to the east coast of Florida”, Buresh said.
The upshot for Jacksonville and NE Florida more than likely is significant rainfall.
“The potential for a half foot or more of rain from Saturday to Monday. It won’t be raining all the time”, Buresh said.
TALKING THE TROPICS: Mike Buresh tracks tropical disturbance near the Bahamas
Most of Dorian’s rains were along and east of I-95 so inland areas can take that kind of rain. However, other areas could see flooding through the late weekend and early in the week.
If this system can organize into a named storm it would be Humberto, but it’s still early and a lot will change in the forecast so keep listening to 104.5 FM for updates through the end of the week and throughout the weekend.
The future movement of Tropical Disturbance Invest 95L has become more uncertain as we approach the weekend. Building surf will result in a high risk of rip currents beginning Friday, with heavy rainfall possible this weekend into early next week #flwx #gawx #jaxwx @JaxReady pic.twitter.com/qpp8GMNoCX— NWS Jacksonville (@NWSJacksonville) September 12, 2019
Watching a disturbance near the Bahamas as it tracks northwest. Development possible into the weekend. Brings rain and breezy conditions to NE FL & SE GA. #FirstAlertWX @ActionNewsJax pic.twitter.com/W8IljDfwKE— Stacey Garvilla (@StaceyGarvilla) September 12, 2019
The upshot for NE Florida from a tropical disturbance near the #Bahamas will be rain. Maybe several inches. @MikeFirstAlert— Rich Jones (@RichJonesJax) September 12, 2019
Podcast: https://t.co/Dmv5Sv7c0W#firstalertwx @NWSJacksonville @StaceyGarvilla @wxgarrett @CSimmaWX @RossFirstAlert @WOKVNews @ActionNewsJax pic.twitter.com/ILy5QbU5OX
For more information about the potential for tropical development near the Bahamas, southeast Florida, and the eastern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days go to https://t.co/QnemzQ1V2D. Detailed local weather info for Florida is available at https://t.co/SiZo8ohZMN— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) September 12, 2019
A disturbance located near the southeastern Bahamas is likely to become a tropical depression by early next week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are likely across the Bahamas through Friday and across Florida over the weekend. pic.twitter.com/15zrV5FxLW— National Hurricane Center (@NHC_Atlantic) September 12, 2019