Forecast track of Tropical Storm Humberto continues to stay east of Florida

Jacksonville, FL — September 15, 1 PM: Action News Jax Chief Meteorologist Mike Buresh says Tropical Storm Humberto is continuing to turn away from Florida as it gains strength.

September 14th, 11 AM: Tropical Depression #9 has strengthened into Tropical Storm Humberto, with the storm's track shifting even more east. Action News Jax Chief Meteorologist Mike Buresh says local impacts still look to be rough seas and surf, dangerous rip currents, and a breeze at the beaches. No inland impacts are expected.

September 13th, 8 PM: Action News Jax Chief Meteorologist Mike Buresh says with the tropical depression continuing to track east, he's not expecting any local impacts inland. However, the beaches will see rough seas and surf, as well as dangerous rip currents.

September 13th, 5 PM: Action News Jax Chief Meteorologist Mike Buresh says this system has been upgraded to a tropical depression as it continues moving near the Bahamas. He says the overall forecast track continues to shift east with few impacts for Northeast Florida, despite the system intensifying through early next week. However, he warns there will be dangerous surf at our beaches.

September 13th, 2 PM: Action News Jax Meteorologist Garrett Bedenbaugh says the latest advisory on potential tropical cyclone nine shows no real changes in its projected path, however, he says the system is getting more organized.

September 13th, 11AM: The forecast track for what is expected to become Humberto continues its push to the east. Action News Jax Chief Meteorologist Mike Buresh says at this time there are few significant impacts expected for Northeast Florida this weekend. Mike says there is a dangerous rip current risk at area beaches though through the weekend.

September 13, 8 AM:  The forecast track of what is expected to become Humberto this weekend has brought a Tropical Storm Watch for parts of E. Central Florida and a Tropical Storm Warning for the central and norther Bahamas.

Action News Jax Chief Meteorologist Mike Buresh says, at the very least we can expect rough seas and surf at our area beaches and a high rip current risk with gusty breezes.  If the disturbance stays a little east, that would be about all the impacts with only some rain until the system passes by our area.

However, if it takes a more southern route into Florida then it would be much wetter for our local area.

It is not likely that this disturbance will be able to intensify strongly before reaching Florida.

INDEPTH:  Talking the Tropics with Mike Buresh

September 12, 5 AM:  A tropical wave in the southeast Bahamas is quite disorganized now but threatens to bring soaking rain to NE Florida late this weekend, and maybe more.

Action News Jax Chief Meteorologist Mike Buresh says the disturbance is not likely to become a major storm before hitting Florida.

“There’s quite a wide array of possibilities here, anywhere from the eastern Gulf to the east coast of Florida”, Buresh said.

The upshot for Jacksonville and NE Florida more than likely is significant rainfall.

“The potential for a half foot or more of rain from Saturday to Monday. It won’t be raining all the time”, Buresh said.

TALKING THE TROPICS:  Mike Buresh tracks tropical disturbance near the Bahamas

Most of Dorian’s rains were along and east of I-95 so inland areas can take that kind of rain. However, other areas could see flooding through the late weekend and early in the week.

If this system can organize into a named storm it would be Humberto, but it’s still early and a lot will change in the forecast so keep listening to 104.5 FM for updates through the end of the week and throughout the weekend.

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